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that's what rasmussen has been saying, what gallup has been saying. that's not the whole poll. on those pocketbook related issues. >> no doubt. i will concede the polls showed a couple things contradictory, public opinion polls. romney led on the issue of the economy but they also showed that on the issue of -- who was leading there, that it was pretty much tied, 48/48. >> i'm spendi in-- on spending, deficits romney had all the advantages. they are dear to my heart. interestingly even though i'm a tax cutting reagan supply cut sider the tax cuts didn't poll well. in the battleground poll i was told today for the first time romney took a small two-point lead in the battleground poll on the question of tax cuts. tax cuts doesn't play as much as spending cuts. i thought you might be interested in that. >> i think you're right. if these dynamics start showing up in the exit polls that the fiscal side of the equation is running high on the list, i think that gives us a good indication. >> no doubt about it. want to bring in brian sullivan at democracy plaza in new york city. we hav
that's what rasmussen has been saying, what gallup has been saying. that's not the whole poll. on those pocketbook related issues. >> no doubt. i will concede the polls showed a couple things contradictory, public opinion polls. romney led on the issue of the economy but they also showed that on the issue of -- who was leading there, that it was pretty much tied, 48/48. >> i'm spendi in-- on spending, deficits romney had all the advantages. they are dear to my heart. interestingly...
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Nov 7, 2012
11/12
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eric eric rasmussen has been following the social media. >> you have to consider that twitter says there's been more than 20 million election related tweets and that's just today. at the height of it around the time that the major networks were calling this election for president obama. twitter was reporting some where in the neighborhood of 370,000 tweets a minute related to the election. and although we are eagerly awaiting some words from president obama, i'm going to look away here on twitter the first lady michelle obama not too long ago has tweeted that this is just a huge moment for them, i'm trying to find the exact wording that she used here. but michelle obama has come out and thanked supporters for everything they've done for her during this campaign and again as you see some of the images of folks in chicago waiting for the president to come out, many people getting on twitter and on facebook to express their opinions about how this election is playing out. as we see some of it although the commentary come in tonight. a lot of celebration, a lot of people are saying they are ha
eric eric rasmussen has been following the social media. >> you have to consider that twitter says there's been more than 20 million election related tweets and that's just today. at the height of it around the time that the major networks were calling this election for president obama. twitter was reporting some where in the neighborhood of 370,000 tweets a minute related to the election. and although we are eagerly awaiting some words from president obama, i'm going to look away here on...
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minutes from now, the first friday morning poll, we will bring you the rasmussen numbers. jobs, gas, votes. "varney & company" is about to begin. >> right to the big story, which is the october jobs report. the unemployment rate rose to 7.9%. 171,000 jobs were created last month. and the real unemployment rate, which tallies those unemployed and underemployed fell ever so slightly, but holding at 14.6%, the economy is not creating enough new jobs to brighten the employment picture. three years after the recession ended we should be creating at least 250,000 new jobs a month. we are not. the economy remains weak, despite record government spending and an extra 5 1/2 trillion dollars worth of debt. aust austan goolsbee will be joining us, he helped to write the policies,'s no longer with the administration, he hasn't been here for a while, but returning today. here is how it went last time around. >> stuart, my job is not to do spin just bb to be the policy guy. i think this job reports highlights what strengths we've start today develop and highlight the head winds we're fa
minutes from now, the first friday morning poll, we will bring you the rasmussen numbers. jobs, gas, votes. "varney & company" is about to begin. >> right to the big story, which is the october jobs report. the unemployment rate rose to 7.9%. 171,000 jobs were created last month. and the real unemployment rate, which tallies those unemployed and underemployed fell ever so slightly, but holding at 14.6%, the economy is not creating enough new jobs to brighten the employment...
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Nov 1, 2012
11/12
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FOXNEWS
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within the rasmussen margin of error. even the ground game to get out the vote looks like a tossup. the latest pew research study says across the country obama campaign reached 11% of likely voters. only 10% for the romney campaign. look at the swing state. the romney campaign has an edge to reach 14% of likely voters, only 13 from the obama camp. >> bret: carl, thank you. president obama switching things up a bit. for the final push. chief white house correspondent ed henry is with the president in las vegas. >> wardrobe change for president obama. flashing a bomber jacket from air force one to remind even he is still commander-in-chief for now. and while aides are also promising a change in message, with a new more positive tone in his final case -- >> our fight goes on because we know this nation cannot succeed. without a growing, thying middle class. >> he is still going negative on romney with the campaign today charging the republican would be rubber stamp for the right wing. >> he is saying he is the candidate of change. well, let me tell you, wisconsin, we know what change l
within the rasmussen margin of error. even the ground game to get out the vote looks like a tossup. the latest pew research study says across the country obama campaign reached 11% of likely voters. only 10% for the romney campaign. look at the swing state. the romney campaign has an edge to reach 14% of likely voters, only 13 from the obama camp. >> bret: carl, thank you. president obama switching things up a bit. for the final push. chief white house correspondent ed henry is with the...
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Nov 5, 2012
11/12
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today, rasmussen has virginia up two for romney, and that was really tight. and he has ohio dead even. pennsylvania could be a surprise but we could get a bunch of states moving by a little bit. or, they will stay and count every vote. it is that close. a long night. >>neil: we will do the jerry lewis thing together. >>pat: up all night. >>neil: now, to the early voters in columbus, ohio, president obama is in that city right new and about to speak there. governor romney's campaign announcing they will be back in ohio tomorrow as pat reminded me that is not unprecedented but it is unusual. both sides are headed up to the buckeye state. and it is too close to call. but many are saying you may want to credit ohio republican senator bob portman who plays in each of the debate preparations the role of president obama and certainly in the debate that matters, the first one, well, it mattered, and the president elect romney owes this gentleman a good deal. senator, very good to you have. how is your state looking? >>guest: good. i love what pat said, he is right. t
today, rasmussen has virginia up two for romney, and that was really tight. and he has ohio dead even. pennsylvania could be a surprise but we could get a bunch of states moving by a little bit. or, they will stay and count every vote. it is that close. a long night. >>neil: we will do the jerry lewis thing together. >>pat: up all night. >>neil: now, to the early voters in columbus, ohio, president obama is in that city right new and about to speak there. governor romney's...
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Nov 6, 2012
11/12
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CURRENT
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remember some of these averages include polls from biased sources, rasmussen and public policy polling but there is nobody i'd rather to speak to than the one woman who can make sense of all of this an tell us how it's going to play out tomorrow lynn la lake, penalty of the democratic consulting firm lake research partners. she joins us from washington d.c. linda, it is like christmas eve for political junkies. >> it's great to be here. you're right, it is christmas eve for those pollsters. >> it is so fun. how do you feel about tomorrow? >> i feel cautiously optimistic, but i think you had the most important story. we cannot let this election be stolen by people throwing voters away and throwing voters out. it's an outrage what's going on in states like florida and ohio. >> it is, and it's a marginal amount. if ohio is insisting on 300,000 people using provisional ballots and setting you will hurdles all of that makes a difference. what early results might predict who wins, what are you going to be watching? >> so the first state i'm going to be watching is virginia, which closes at 7
remember some of these averages include polls from biased sources, rasmussen and public policy polling but there is nobody i'd rather to speak to than the one woman who can make sense of all of this an tell us how it's going to play out tomorrow lynn la lake, penalty of the democratic consulting firm lake research partners. she joins us from washington d.c. linda, it is like christmas eve for political junkies. >> it's great to be here. you're right, it is christmas eve for those...
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Nov 5, 2012
11/12
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you look the at the national polls, rasmussen and others had romney ahead by three, four points. the beginning of last week. that's now zero, that's how a dead heat and the battle ground states been a bit of an edge for obama. clearly it's clear why. the commander gets to of play commander-in-chief and the bear hug by the chief of new jersey, famously pugnacious, bare hugging the cooperation, and which has been obama's weakness. you can't purchase that publicity and obama had it free for three days with romney shut out and i think it accounts for the race. and i think it wears off by today, tomorrow, and do you see the inadequacy of the government assistance and i think it washes out and in the last hours, you'll got a return of the romney momentum particularly because, as we heard from chris and brit, romney has gone large at the very end while obama remains small, negative, and sort of counter punching at a time when you'd expect him to play president. >> megyn: charles, on that front, president obama made a comment the other day saying, don't boo, they were booing mitt romney'
you look the at the national polls, rasmussen and others had romney ahead by three, four points. the beginning of last week. that's now zero, that's how a dead heat and the battle ground states been a bit of an edge for obama. clearly it's clear why. the commander gets to of play commander-in-chief and the bear hug by the chief of new jersey, famously pugnacious, bare hugging the cooperation, and which has been obama's weakness. you can't purchase that publicity and obama had it free for three...
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and the rasmussen poll shows 50% for romney, 48% for the president in the commonwealth. julie carey joins us from fairfax on romney's pit stop this afternoon. julie? >> reporter: well, it is emptied out now, but a short while ago the patriots center was filled up to the very top row. supporters here eager to show enthusiasm they hope will grab virginia for both mitt romney and the gop. mitt romney supporters were ready to roar from the start in the final rally. and their cheers grew louder when ann romney asked this question. >> are we going to be neighbors soon? >> reporter: and mitt romney's reaction? >> if anyone wants to know where the energy is, if anyone out there that's following american politi wants to know where the energy is, just come right here in this room and you'll see it. >> reporter: supporters also had their own chant ready, one more day. after a grinding 17 months of campaigning, first to win the gop nomination, now to win the presidency, it comes down to virginia. most political observers agree it's a must-win for mitt romney if he hopes to claim vic
and the rasmussen poll shows 50% for romney, 48% for the president in the commonwealth. julie carey joins us from fairfax on romney's pit stop this afternoon. julie? >> reporter: well, it is emptied out now, but a short while ago the patriots center was filled up to the very top row. supporters here eager to show enthusiasm they hope will grab virginia for both mitt romney and the gop. mitt romney supporters were ready to roar from the start in the final rally. and their cheers grew...
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Nov 8, 2012
11/12
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larry sabato pollster scott rasmussen. scott, what surprised you the most last night. >> the thing that surprised me the most was how precisely the obama campaign projected the white turnout. that was decisive. mitt romney got nearly 6 out of 10 white voters. most people thought that the obama campaign was being wildly optimistic that they could get the minority turnout to 28% of the vote but they did just what they said. >> bill: they got it to 28%. is that what it was in 2008? >> no, it was 26%. >> bill: they actually under their quo tent. >> under their quotient. not just the latino voters which you mentioned in the talking points memo but also they got young people to the polls. >> bill: youngsters didn't go for obama the way they did in 2008. he didn't get as many -- >> -- the story here is they did show up in bigger numbers and seniors did not. seniors were much more favorable towards mitt romney. basically the obama campaign knew who they had to get to the polls and they got them out. >> bill: did that surprise you,
larry sabato pollster scott rasmussen. scott, what surprised you the most last night. >> the thing that surprised me the most was how precisely the obama campaign projected the white turnout. that was decisive. mitt romney got nearly 6 out of 10 white voters. most people thought that the obama campaign was being wildly optimistic that they could get the minority turnout to 28% of the vote but they did just what they said. >> bill: they got it to 28%. is that what it was in 2008?...
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Nov 6, 2012
11/12
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according to a new rasmussen poll. i also think romney could win in colorado. but obama looks to have nevada locked up despite the awful unemployment situation in that state. our pal larry sabato teaches at the university of virginia is predicting an obama win, 290 electoral votes to romney's 248 if obama -- if obama is the winner, that tally sounds about right. but carl rove sees it the opposite way. mr. rove will be here in a moment. of course dick morris continues to maintain that romney will win big. carrying pennsylvania and ohio, which would assure a romney victory. both morris and sabato will be on this program wednesday. again, i cannot make a prediction tonight. it pains pee. i don't like it. but i have to be honest. i can't do it. because even at this late date, some americans could still vote either way. both candidates still have a fighting chance. and that's the memo. next on the run down. the aforementioned carl rove will tell me how tragically wrong i am or something. and then, krauthammer, hume, powers, march will all weighen in n. on the fact t
according to a new rasmussen poll. i also think romney could win in colorado. but obama looks to have nevada locked up despite the awful unemployment situation in that state. our pal larry sabato teaches at the university of virginia is predicting an obama win, 290 electoral votes to romney's 248 if obama -- if obama is the winner, that tally sounds about right. but carl rove sees it the opposite way. mr. rove will be here in a moment. of course dick morris continues to maintain that romney...
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Nov 5, 2012
11/12
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a rasmussen poll this morning out shows mitt romney up by 1. a cell phone poll shows a tie, pew has obama up by 1. nbc, may up by 1. here's the rally in central florida and he also heads to virginia, ohio and new hampshire, calling on his supporters to get to the polls. >> we thank you. we ask you to stay at it all the way, all the way to victory on tuesday night. >> reporter: president obama makes one last argument to voters today in wisconsin and ohio and ends his day in i. >> you on the one hand, you can -- iowa. >> on the one hand, you can return to the policies or you can join me on building a future that will build a strong middle-class future. >> reporter: mitt romney will have kid rock as his rally tonight and president obama will have j-z at his rally tonight -- jay-z at his rally tonight. >>> political analysts are talking about what would happen in the unlikely event that president obama and mitt romney end up with a tie, each getting 269 electoral college votes. well, in that case, the constitution calls for the house to choose the
a rasmussen poll this morning out shows mitt romney up by 1. a cell phone poll shows a tie, pew has obama up by 1. nbc, may up by 1. here's the rally in central florida and he also heads to virginia, ohio and new hampshire, calling on his supporters to get to the polls. >> we thank you. we ask you to stay at it all the way, all the way to victory on tuesday night. >> reporter: president obama makes one last argument to voters today in wisconsin and ohio and ends his day in i....
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. >> rasmussen are much more encouraging to romney than the others. in fact, there are campaigns in this country today that hire two polltakers because they're not sure what they can get from one. >> george, there are 23 polls, 21 are in the president's favor. >> this is our first presidential since citizens united. we began with the talk of power money that was going to be unleashed. obama's campaign spends a billion. romney campaign spends a billion. >> concentrated spending. >> $5 billion over five white women in ohio. that's right. but, it has been very helpful to the tv stations. >> and 67 superpacs have sprung over the last 30 days. it's not making a difference. >> it could make a difference in the senate and the house races. >> and the reality is, you're going to see a lot of republicans come out and you're going to see enormous racial polarization in this race. 40% of white vote, in your poll this morning, 38 and 78. right on the tipping point. >> but, ron, i want to bring that question to matthew dowd. when you look at it and you see how soph
. >> rasmussen are much more encouraging to romney than the others. in fact, there are campaigns in this country today that hire two polltakers because they're not sure what they can get from one. >> george, there are 23 polls, 21 are in the president's favor. >> this is our first presidential since citizens united. we began with the talk of power money that was going to be unleashed. obama's campaign spends a billion. romney campaign spends a billion. >> concentrated...
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Nov 7, 2012
11/12
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rasmussen said we were almost always ahead. we have to shatter that. and finally we've got to form the operative class of the republican party. we've had two presidential elections now that were strategic train wrecks. we've lost the ability to know how to appeal beyond our base mechanically. it's time for a shakeup. we used to be better than the democrats. they're now better than us. just like this israeli army, it's time for brutal honesty inside our party. >> you've just given us a nice conversation to kick off. mr. murphy i will talk to you down the road. hello, panel. sara, how about that brutal honesty about the operative class? well, you at least get to say hey i was on you''04. >> i was on '04. >> how right was he? i go back to the same question. who lost this election mitt romney or the republican party? >> he's right. they're interlinked. but, you know, mitt romney in many ways was a bridge candidate to a changing republican party. you look at the deep bench of chris christie, paul ryan, marco rubio, ted cruz, susana martinez. it feels really
rasmussen said we were almost always ahead. we have to shatter that. and finally we've got to form the operative class of the republican party. we've had two presidential elections now that were strategic train wrecks. we've lost the ability to know how to appeal beyond our base mechanically. it's time for a shakeup. we used to be better than the democrats. they're now better than us. just like this israeli army, it's time for brutal honesty inside our party. >> you've just given us a...
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Nov 3, 2012
11/12
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rasmussen reports governor romney leading 50-47%. so let's listen in, they're in colorado, to governor mitt romney and his wife, ann romney. [ cheers and applause ] >> well, today we enter the final weekend of the campaign. all right? [ cheers and applause ] and you got it right, that the obama rallies rallies are captag four more years. you're chanting three more days. we're going to have to change that chant tomorrow. we'll come up with something, i'm sure. we are so grateful to you and to the people across this country for all that you've given to the campaign of yourselves, of your time, your talent, your energy, your money, and this is not just about paul ryan and me and it's really about america and the future we leave our children. [ cheers and applause ] we thank you and we ask you to stay with it all the way to victory on tuesday night. all right? [ cheers and applause ] four years ago, candidate obama promised to do so much for us, but he's fallen so very short. he promised to be a post-partisan president. remember that? bu
rasmussen reports governor romney leading 50-47%. so let's listen in, they're in colorado, to governor mitt romney and his wife, ann romney. [ cheers and applause ] >> well, today we enter the final weekend of the campaign. all right? [ cheers and applause ] and you got it right, that the obama rallies rallies are captag four more years. you're chanting three more days. we're going to have to change that chant tomorrow. we'll come up with something, i'm sure. we are so grateful to you and...
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Nov 5, 2012
11/12
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we're looking at rasmussen and that is within the margin of error. even the wall street journal will be nbc news poll. is there a big collective question mark tonight? >> there is. most interesting to me, tom, is if you speak to the insiders and i know you do, ones from both sides believe they're going to genuinely win this. both sides seem to think we have a shot in ohio. obviously, republicans don't believe that is they can win without ohio and they handle they're going to win this tomorrow. if we're that close, we're in for days ahead. once you're past pennsylvania, northern virginia, it's northern virginia going for romney, well, you know, there is a chance this could be a very long night and if ohio goes for romney, it could be a long day. >> they talk about the october surprises and clearly, no one was expecting hurricane sandy and going to be where it was. where do you factor hurricane sandy in this race now? was this the october surprise we look out for and did it help the president? >> if they do lose, sounds like if a lot of them are going
we're looking at rasmussen and that is within the margin of error. even the wall street journal will be nbc news poll. is there a big collective question mark tonight? >> there is. most interesting to me, tom, is if you speak to the insiders and i know you do, ones from both sides believe they're going to genuinely win this. both sides seem to think we have a shot in ohio. obviously, republicans don't believe that is they can win without ohio and they handle they're going to win this...
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Nov 6, 2012
11/12
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CNNW
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i point out two of the polls that came out today, rasmussen has romney up by one. gallup has romney up by one. the james carville rule is incumbents get the last poll. that would mean a 51-48 or 52-48 victory because in both those cases, you had obama at 48%. i think it's actually probably bigger than that. my personal guess is 53-47 or more. but secondly, let's look at what happened in new jersey and new york. i think if the vote had been on friday, obama peaked on friday out of sympathy and now we've had saturday and sunday for people and now all day monday for people to realize, remember, the government that is failing on staten island is the government obama wants to deliver health care. so i think you are going to see a lot of people vote against a failed government as they watch the mess in the northeast. >> mr. speaker, it's been great talking to you for the last 18 months or so. we've had a lot of ups and downs but it's been always entertaining and interesting. i wish you and your party all the very best tomorrow night. >> thank you. >>> coming up, one of t
i point out two of the polls that came out today, rasmussen has romney up by one. gallup has romney up by one. the james carville rule is incumbents get the last poll. that would mean a 51-48 or 52-48 victory because in both those cases, you had obama at 48%. i think it's actually probably bigger than that. my personal guess is 53-47 or more. but secondly, let's look at what happened in new jersey and new york. i think if the vote had been on friday, obama peaked on friday out of sympathy and...
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closest is the rasmussen poll which has been tied. deal i know poll which university of cincinnati has, pulled yesterday at obama won by seven points but if it is close here is where ohio gets interesting because of the labyrinthian process of counting votes. not counted tonight, we spend an hour with secretary of state in ohio last night, absentee ballots, oversee ballots, with incomplete ids, provisional ballots. a lot of people expected to account provisional ballots adjudicated later. as many as 200,000. it is a close race we will not have a winner in ohio tonight. we could have florida all over again with worse weather. would not be fun. dagen: i love how you bring it back to the weather. thank you. jeff: i was in florida in 2,000 and it was nice. will not be nice here. connell: we will get it settled one way or the other. the other big story developing today in addition to the election is in this area in the northeast, and super -- superstorm sandy, this nor'easter taking shape. dagen: janice dean is standing by in the fox busin
closest is the rasmussen poll which has been tied. deal i know poll which university of cincinnati has, pulled yesterday at obama won by seven points but if it is close here is where ohio gets interesting because of the labyrinthian process of counting votes. not counted tonight, we spend an hour with secretary of state in ohio last night, absentee ballots, oversee ballots, with incomplete ids, provisional ballots. a lot of people expected to account provisional ballots adjudicated later. as...
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Nov 1, 2012
11/12
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FOXNEWSW
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a rasmussen survey and a roanoke college survey have governor romney up by 2 points and 5 points respectively. washington and quinnipiac polls have president obama up by four points and two points two other surveys showed the race tied. jon: the core of president obama's support in virginia comes from the northern part of the state, right? and the northern part of the state is the part that got hit the worst by this storm. what are the president's people saying about how they feel about their prospects? >> well, the kind of key urban areas inre the democrats and president obama would expect to do well are in northern virginia, in the kind of central virginia-richmond area and in portions of hampton roads along the eastern seaboard. as you point out northern virginia was hard hit by hurricane sandy. several of the voter registrars up there had to suspend office hours during the storm. as a result and at the request of governor bob mcdonald here in virginia some of those registrars are extending their hours in the coming today's to allow those virginians who are qualified to vote early absentee
a rasmussen survey and a roanoke college survey have governor romney up by 2 points and 5 points respectively. washington and quinnipiac polls have president obama up by four points and two points two other surveys showed the race tied. jon: the core of president obama's support in virginia comes from the northern part of the state, right? and the northern part of the state is the part that got hit the worst by this storm. what are the president's people saying about how they feel about their...
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Nov 4, 2012
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there has been only one poll, rasmussen poll that showed romney leading there and others show him behind? >> i'm not sure how confident i am. when you are making predictions in close states. you can't be confident to be correct. i said in my article i'm fully i may be wrong in some states. that is where enthusiasm can make a difference. we know that rom is not well as running as well with white non-college voters. but there is something we saw on fox news as election returns were coming in and that is increased turnout in small town, rural voters, evangelical voters that won the state for george w. bush even though john kerry got his margins that he wanted out of the big central cities and out of the university and college towns. i think that is factor that hasn't been studied much by reporters but a lot of people have been active on the ground and the crowd of the fire marshal estimated 30,000 on friday was a good indicator of strong enthusiasm. barack obama drew fewer people in ohio than john mccain drew four years ago. >> megyn: charlie cook says its tough road for romney on electoral
there has been only one poll, rasmussen poll that showed romney leading there and others show him behind? >> i'm not sure how confident i am. when you are making predictions in close states. you can't be confident to be correct. i said in my article i'm fully i may be wrong in some states. that is where enthusiasm can make a difference. we know that rom is not well as running as well with white non-college voters. but there is something we saw on fox news as election returns were coming...
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Nov 25, 2012
11/12
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rasmussen also added that people that are angry about immigration they aren't angry at the immigrants but angry at the federal government. finally do you think at this point people have come to expect the gridlock, that will continue? >> unfortunately yes, but there is political will to get this done. we have seen the power of the latino voters and it does rely on this congress. we don't have as many tea party members that were putting a block in place to this anymore. now, we have a makeup of a congress that knows there is an america behind this. >> we need the president to bring this comprehensive bill up and drive his party to take a stance on this issue. he didn't do it when he had full control of the house and senate. he could have done it in the first years. he chose not to. he is not up for reelection again. i hope she shows leadership this time. >> heather: thank you both for joining us. we appreciate it. >> gregg: an oklahoma teenager sentenced to serve time after a drunk driving accident killed one of his friends, but he won't be carrying out his sentence in prison. what the
rasmussen also added that people that are angry about immigration they aren't angry at the immigrants but angry at the federal government. finally do you think at this point people have come to expect the gridlock, that will continue? >> unfortunately yes, but there is political will to get this done. we have seen the power of the latino voters and it does rely on this congress. we don't have as many tea party members that were putting a block in place to this anymore. now, we have a...
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some of the polls, rasmussen, gallup, that do not allocate five parties, they just pull a large number of people. there was a poll in ohio that over pulled 9%. that same poll in virginia actually had mitt romney of 21%, but that obama above by 2%. the momentum is in mint romney's favor. the ground is in his favor. 93% of where we were in 2008. the momentum is clearly going in the governor's direction. i think these personal stops make a difference. dagen: you do not think that the fact of hurricane sandy moving in in the presidential election was not the focus of television news conference and you could not get away from advertisements. it was not above the fold on the front page of newspapers. how did that not hurt mr. romney? >> i think it slowed the momentum of the campaign. i do think that has picked back up. i think only history will see how sandy plays out. you do have the president acting like a president for a few days because that is his job. dow you have have some people resentful because they do not have the supplies they need. it discourages the vote if you have a lower tur
some of the polls, rasmussen, gallup, that do not allocate five parties, they just pull a large number of people. there was a poll in ohio that over pulled 9%. that same poll in virginia actually had mitt romney of 21%, but that obama above by 2%. the momentum is in mint romney's favor. the ground is in his favor. 93% of where we were in 2008. the momentum is clearly going in the governor's direction. i think these personal stops make a difference. dagen: you do not think that the fact of...
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rasmussen, the right wing poll -- even showed obama's approval rating reaching up. >> obama taking a phone call. southern states want to see you again. no i'm not going to call for civil war two. as soon as they repay the national debt. oh, really, they're broke? tell them to shut the hell up. >> stephanie: the president's going mitt. he said barack? he said i prefer mr. president. [ laughter ] all right. we've been documenting the best right wing freakouts over the president's re-election. how about this guy? man behind alabama secession petition mad about losing his carwash. meet derek belcher. >> really? >> stephanie: a 45-year-old from alabama -- chunk chill la -- chunchula. >> no, they don't pronounce it with that kind of accent. that's for damn sure. >> stephanie: he's a truck driver, knife collector. >> is that a hyphenate? >> wow. >> his house is the cab of his truck. he must keep that collection in the cab of his truck. >> oh, god. don't stop too suddenly. >> stephanie: that's probably where -- >> stabbing him in the back when he slams on the brakes. >> stephanie: my jackkni
rasmussen, the right wing poll -- even showed obama's approval rating reaching up. >> obama taking a phone call. southern states want to see you again. no i'm not going to call for civil war two. as soon as they repay the national debt. oh, really, they're broke? tell them to shut the hell up. >> stephanie: the president's going mitt. he said barack? he said i prefer mr. president. [ laughter ] all right. we've been documenting the best right wing freakouts over the president's...
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gallup, rasmussen, abc, washington post, pew all have the race moving three to four points in his direction. he was doing well in the electoral college. i think democrats are confident. turn out has been up today. feel like a lot of folks are voting which is good for the democrats, there's been a lot of early votes. we go into election day feeling good. jon: wait a minute i thought that traditionally republicans tend to turn out in bigger numbers on election day. matt, what about that, if turn out is big today is that good for democrats or republicans. >> i think you'll see a big get out the vote effort from republicans. i think we'll have great numbers. as a matter of fact even on the early vote, jon which democrats have tend towed dominate this republican team has really done a much better job having the democratic advantage in states like ohio. so i think what we're going to see today is a great republican turn out. i think we can make it simple for your viewers. there's been a lot of talk about the polls and the numbers and the demographics and the samples. it's going to come down to oh
gallup, rasmussen, abc, washington post, pew all have the race moving three to four points in his direction. he was doing well in the electoral college. i think democrats are confident. turn out has been up today. feel like a lot of folks are voting which is good for the democrats, there's been a lot of early votes. we go into election day feeling good. jon: wait a minute i thought that traditionally republicans tend to turn out in bigger numbers on election day. matt, what about that, if turn...
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. >> steve: speaking of the polls, i just saw twitter, scott rasmussen's final poll, national tracking poll, the president is -- mitt romney is ahead of the president by one. of course, today is the day that historically benefits republicans. this is a day republicans go out. not only do they go out to vote, but they are so motivated because so many people have told me, i'm going to vote because i have got to save america. i've heard people say that. >> i think that's right. i think a lot of people vote because we don't like the direction the country is going in. 60% of the country doesn't. number two, i think back to the media point, i think a lot of people are just so tired of media figures, probably me included, telling them how it vote. it's like look, i want my say. this is my country, too. let me cast the ballot for whomever i think will do the best job for me, my family, and the country overall. i think people are tired of being dictated to by the american media. i think in the end, we'll find out which pollster was correct, whether it's rasmussen, we'll see which polls were mor
. >> steve: speaking of the polls, i just saw twitter, scott rasmussen's final poll, national tracking poll, the president is -- mitt romney is ahead of the president by one. of course, today is the day that historically benefits republicans. this is a day republicans go out. not only do they go out to vote, but they are so motivated because so many people have told me, i'm going to vote because i have got to save america. i've heard people say that. >> i think that's right. i think...
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rasmussen he's at 48. that suggests to me somewhere between 51-49, which is i think where rove is, to 53-47, which is where i am. so at 53-47, romney will carry over 300 electoral votes. >> dee dee, i assume you quote different sources in your analysis of the way this is going? >> i don't spend a lot of time quoting dick morris and karl rove when i'm doing my analysis. i agree it's all going to come down to turnout and i think that the obama campaign from the very beginning of this race has made an argument that they were going to focus on winning in the battleground states. you have to keep in mind, almost half of voters have already gone to the polls in those states and the president is leading by a substantial margin. romney will have to make up a lot of ground if he's going to win in the key battleground states. i think that there's been a slight edge to the president's numbers in the last few days and i think when you add the turnout operation on top of that i think he has a slight edge. but it's been
rasmussen he's at 48. that suggests to me somewhere between 51-49, which is i think where rove is, to 53-47, which is where i am. so at 53-47, romney will carry over 300 electoral votes. >> dee dee, i assume you quote different sources in your analysis of the way this is going? >> i don't spend a lot of time quoting dick morris and karl rove when i'm doing my analysis. i agree it's all going to come down to turnout and i think that the obama campaign from the very beginning of this...
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. >> bill: no, and by wait, yeah, he certainly is a hell of a lot more accurate than gallop or rasmussen. >> bill: go ahead. >> caller: i have a question for you, with the passing of the marijuana laws, and the gay rights for gays to get married and our openly gay senator that's wonderful, do you think we're seeing a paradigm shift for a more progressive way of thinking? >> bill: i would hope so, there's one element of the american people that maybe don't realize that yet and those are the tea partyers, and those are the people who control the republican party today not all republicans, but i think that's a big message of last night's election derrick, and others, is that president obama and the democratic party really do represent america in the 21st 21st century, and the republican party today at best, i think represents an all white conservative america of the maybe 19th century. chris van hollen, coming up next. >> announcer: this is the "bill press show." [ ♪ theme ♪ ] i.q. will go way up. how are you ever going to solve the problem if you don't look at all of the pieces? >>tv a
. >> bill: no, and by wait, yeah, he certainly is a hell of a lot more accurate than gallop or rasmussen. >> bill: go ahead. >> caller: i have a question for you, with the passing of the marijuana laws, and the gay rights for gays to get married and our openly gay senator that's wonderful, do you think we're seeing a paradigm shift for a more progressive way of thinking? >> bill: i would hope so, there's one element of the american people that maybe don't realize that...
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bill: what do you account -- how do you account for the fact that even as of yesterday, gallup and rasmussen had the national poll tied even even. even romney ahead in one of them. >> gallup had plus one -- gallup called it a tie but they had romney up plus one but remember what they had for weeks during october, romney was up 4-6 points which essentially produces a landslide in the electoral college. i hope people are going to remember what gallup did. this is becoming an every four-year circus and a joke. >> bill: yes. thank you. >> gallup has serious problems! and they don't seem serious about correcting them! >> bill: well and the media doesn't seem serious about ignoring them. >> it is the gold standard. the name gallup, it is the gold standard. but look, if they had stuck with the four to six this would have been their second 1948. >> bill: wow. oh really. that bad. >> absolutely. absolutely. >> bill: you know, across the board, i mean i was looking this morning, most -- i recall it reputable people have -- in their prediction have obama up in the electoral college. do you think the po
bill: what do you account -- how do you account for the fact that even as of yesterday, gallup and rasmussen had the national poll tied even even. even romney ahead in one of them. >> gallup had plus one -- gallup called it a tie but they had romney up plus one but remember what they had for weeks during october, romney was up 4-6 points which essentially produces a landslide in the electoral college. i hope people are going to remember what gallup did. this is becoming an every four-year...
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i think if you look at rasmussen, gallup and a number of other pollsters out there, they all got it wrong. i think i was one of the few people on the right saying the polls weren't wrong and e vis rated by friends for saying that. at some point you have to realize the data's not lying. >> let me just say, i want to sort of unravel that a bit. we know gallup certainly didn't do too well all throughout, but cnn certainly got it right. i think you can say nate silver got it right. so there were some people out there who actually got it. >> oh, absolutely. >> so it wasn't everybody. but in some corners. paul, what do you say? >> well, it was mostly corners of the far right. erick was a lonely voice of the reality based conservative movement. this country has changed. you know, back when i worked for bill clinton in 1992, 20 years ago, it was the modern era, we had electricity and jet travel. 88%, 88 of the electorate that voted for bill clinton that voted in the bush election was 88%. that's dropped to 72%. and the republicans are going to have to adapt. we covered all those primaries, erick
i think if you look at rasmussen, gallup and a number of other pollsters out there, they all got it wrong. i think i was one of the few people on the right saying the polls weren't wrong and e vis rated by friends for saying that. at some point you have to realize the data's not lying. >> let me just say, i want to sort of unravel that a bit. we know gallup certainly didn't do too well all throughout, but cnn certainly got it right. i think you can say nate silver got it right. so there...